Life doesn't give you bumpers
It’s no secret we’re huge movies fan at our house. Every year, we try to see all of the nominated films before the Oscars. Some years, we have just a few to see. Other years, like this one, we have to really scramble to see them all.
This year I saw 19 of the 50 which represents 56.2% of the nominations. I usually do a little better, but that’s not bad.
My predictions - in order based on categories I care most about and am more qualified to judge. The fractions represent who many of the nominated films I’ve seen.
Best Picture 6/8
- Will Win: Boyhood
- Should Win: Birdman
- Snub: The LEGO Movie
Actress 3/5
- Will Win: Julianne Moore
- Should Win: Julianne Moore
- Could Win: Rosamund Pike
Actor 3/5
- Will Win: Michael Keaton
- Should Win: Michael Keaton
- Could Win: Eddie Redmayne
- Snub: David Oyelowo for Selma
Supporting Actress 3/5
- Will Win: Patricia Arquette
- Should Win: Patricia Arquette
Supporting Actor 4/5
- Will Win: J.K. Simmons
- Should Win: J.K. Simmons
Directing 4/5
- Will Win: Birdman
- Should Win: Birdman
- Snub: American Sniper
Cinematography 3/5
- Will Win: Birdman
- Should Win: Birdman
Adapted Screenplay 3/5
- Will Win: Whiplash
- Should Win: Gone Girl
- Snub: Gone Girl
Original Screenplay 3/5
- Will Win: Boyhood
- Should Win: Boyhood
Live Action Short 5/5
- Will Win: Aya
- Should Win: Butter Lamp or Parvaneh
Documentary Short 5/5
- Will Win: Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1
- Should Win: Joanna
Animated Short 5/5
- Will Win: Feast
- Should Win: The Dam Keeper
Film Editing 4/5
- Will Win: Boyhood
- Should Win: Boyhood
- Could Win: Whiplash
Sound Editing 2/5
- Will Win: Birdman
- Should Win: Birdman
Sound Mixing 2/5
- Will Win: Birdman
- Should Win: Birdman
- Could Win: Whiplash
Animated Feature 3/5
- Will Win: Big Hero 6
- Should Win: The LEGO Movie
- Snub: The LEGO Movie
Costume Design 2/5
- Will Win: Grand Budapest Hotel
- Should Win: Grand Budapest Hotel
Documentary Feature 0/5
- Will Win: Citizen Four
- Should Win: I didn’t see any of these
- Snub: Life Itself
Visual Effects 4/5
- Will Win: Interstellar
- Should Win: X-Men
Foreign Language 1/5
- Will Win: Ida
- Should Win: Ida is the only one I saw
Makeup and Hairstyling 2/3
- Will Win: Guardians of the Galaxy
- Should Win: Guardians of the Galaxy
Original Score 3/5
- Will Win: Grand Budapest Hotel
- Should Win: Grand Budapest Hotel
Original Song 1/5
- Will Win: Selma
- Should Win: Selma
Production Design 2/5
- Will Win: Grand Budapest Hotel
- Should Win: Grand Budapest Hotel